Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 30Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
The Footlab model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Sarpsborg 08 FF. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Bodo/Glimt is a heavy favourite: 2,277 Elo points against 1,967 — a 311-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bodo/Glimt have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Sarpsborg 08 FF have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Valerenga(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 4-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Sarpsborg(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sandefjord(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viking(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Molde(away) | 3-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 1-0 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bodo/Glimt win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sarpsborg 08 FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-1 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-5 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Bodo/Glimt 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Bodo/Glimt 6-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| Jun 28, 2024 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-2 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 0-2 Bodo/Glimt | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Bodo/Glimt on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bodo/Glimt score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sarpsborg 08 FF score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bodo/Glimt sit 1st in Eliteserien (41 points from 17 matches) and Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th (22 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 12 | 41 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
- The Footlab model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Sarpsborg 08 FF.
- Where and when is Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF played?
- Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Aspmyra Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.