Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 30Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
The Footlab AI model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Sarpsborg 08 FF. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Bodo/Glimt is a heavy favourite: 2,300 Elo points against 1,987, a 313-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bodo/Glimt
4-4-2- 11O. Didrik Blomberg
- 9A. Helmersen
- 7P. Berg
- 19S. Fet
- 8S. Auklend
- 10J. Hauge
- 20F. Sjøvold
- 15F. Bjørkan
- 4O. Bjørtuft
- 6J. Gundersen
- 12N. Haikin
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2- 11D. Karlsbakk
- 33A. Nibe
- 8S. Christiansen
- 77O. Skarsem
- 10S. Sørli
- 6A. Sher
- 4B. Utvik
- 2M. Lode
- 12C. Niyukuri
- 21A. Hiim
- 87L. Øy
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bodo/Glimt have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Sarpsborg 08 FF have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 3-1 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Rana(away) | 6-2 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Brann(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sandefjord(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aalesund(away) | 4-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Follo(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 18, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(home) | 1-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Valerenga(home) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bodo/Glimt wins, 1 draw, 1 Sarpsborg 08 FF win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-1 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-5 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Bodo/Glimt 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Bodo/Glimt 6-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| Jun 28, 2024 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-2 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 0-2 Bodo/Glimt | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Bodo/Glimt on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bodo/Glimt score 2.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sarpsborg 08 FF score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 2.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bodo/Glimt sit 2nd in Eliteserien (53 points from 22 matches) and Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th (28 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | 53 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 28 |
A question about Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Sarpsborg 08 FF.
- Where and when is Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF played?
- Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Aspmyra Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.