Lillestrom vs Tromso: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 30Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Åråsen Stadion, Kjeller
The Footlab AI model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Tromso. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lillestrom wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Tromso?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Lillestrom (2,021) and Tromso (2,032).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lillestrom vs Tromso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lillestrom
4-1-4-1- 10T. Lehne Olsen
- 20Vá
- 14G. Nyheim
- 17E. Kitolano
- 22D. Bassi
- 21F. Ottosson
- 11F. Elkær
- 2L. Ranger
- 28R. Gabrielsen
- 5S. Foss
- 12P. Dahlberg
Tromso
5-3-2- 22H. Larsen
- 10T. Nyhammer
- 11R. Jenssen
- 70M. Bjørlo
- 5D. Edvardsson
- 30I. Vådebu
- 29A. Warneryd
- 21L. Hien
- 37S. Innvær
- 4V. Skjærvik
- 1J. Haugaard
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lillestrom have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tromso have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Viking(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Valerenga(home) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Alta(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 3-5 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lillestrom win, 2 draws, 3 Tromso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Tromso 0-0 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tromso 0-0 Lillestrom | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Lillestrom 0-1 Tromso | Eliteserien |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Tromso 1-2 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Tromso 3-1 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Lillestrom 0-1 Tromso | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Lillestrom score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tromso score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrom | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Tromso | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lillestrom sit 6th in Eliteserien (33 points from 22 matches) and Tromso sit 3rd (39 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 39 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 31 | 33 |
A question about Lillestrom vs Tromso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lillestrom vs Tromso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lillestrom the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Tromso.
- Where and when is Lillestrom vs Tromso played?
- Lillestrom vs Tromso is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Åråsen Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.