Brann vs Aalesund: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 30Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Brann Stadion, Bergen
The Footlab AI model makes Brann the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Aalesund. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brann vs Aalesund?
Brann starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (2,025 vs 1,926).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brann vs Aalesund
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brann
4-3-3- 29N. Holm
- 22S. Magnússon
- 15J. Torsvik
- 18J. Sørensen
- 16K. Eriksen
- 19E. Guðmundsson
- 3F. Knudsen
- 23T. Pedersen
- 20V. Dragsnes
- 21N. Kasanwirjo
- 12S. Nilsen
Aalesund
5-3-2- 27H. M. Reed
- 8I. Skotheim
- 18E. Hagen
- 21M. Christensen
- 15E. Osenbroch
- 14U. Charles
- 7K. Nessø
- 28D. Mbacke
- 3Ó. Guðmundsson
- 22E. Engqvist
- 1Luca Podlech
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brann have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Aalesund have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Viking(home) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Start(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Os(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Start(away) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 2-4 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Molde(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Førde(away) | 4-3 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Start(home) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Brann wins, 1 draw, 1 Aalesund win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Aalesund 2-1 Brann | Eliteserien |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Brann 2-1 Aalesund | NM Cupen |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Brann 5-1 Aalesund | Eliteserien |
| Jun 7, 2023 | Aalesund 3-3 Brann | NM Cupen |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Aalesund 1-3 Brann | Eliteserien |
| Feb 9, 2023 | Aalesund 0-3 Brann | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Brann score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aalesund score 2.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Aalesund | 2.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brann sit 7th in Eliteserien (29 points from 22 matches) and Aalesund sit 14th (21 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 34 | 29 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 50 | 21 |
A question about Brann vs Aalesund?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brann vs Aalesund?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brann the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Aalesund.
- Where and when is Brann vs Aalesund played?
- Brann vs Aalesund is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Brann Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.