Start vs Kristiansund BK: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 30Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
The Footlab model makes Start the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Kristiansund BK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Start vs Kristiansund BK?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Start (1,845) and Kristiansund BK (1,851).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Start have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Kristiansund BK have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flekkefjord(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fredrikstad(home) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Viking(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trønder-Lyn(away) | 5-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Start(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Start win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kristiansund BK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kristiansund BK 1-2 Start | Eliteserien |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Kristiansund BK 1-1 Start | 1. Division |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Start 4-0 Kristiansund BK | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Start 1-2 Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2020 | Kristiansund BK 3-2 Start | Eliteserien |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Kristiansund BK 1-1 Start | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Kristiansund BK vs Start on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Start score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kristiansund BK score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Kristiansund BK | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Start sit 16th in Eliteserien (10 points from 17 matches) and Kristiansund BK sit 14th (15 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 15 |
| 16 | Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Start vs Kristiansund BK?
- The Footlab model makes Start the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Kristiansund BK.
- Where and when is Start vs Kristiansund BK played?
- Start vs Kristiansund BK is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sparebanken Sør Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.