Sandefjord vs Valerenga: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 30Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Jotun Arena, Sandefjord
The Footlab AI model makes Sandefjord the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Valerenga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sandefjord wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Valerenga?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Sandefjord (1,987) and Valerenga (1,957).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sandefjord vs Valerenga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sandefjord
4-3-3- 7E. Patoulidis
- 27J. Dunsby
- 9O. Kapskarmo
- 6S. Mørk
- 8T. Børkeeiet
- 10E. Gigović
- 44X. Lambrix
- 13R. Holten
- 5G. Højbjerg
- 4F. Pedersen
- 30E. Hadaya
Valerenga
4-4-2- 28M. Westergaard
- 90O. Saeter
- 77L. Haren
- 10C. Lange
- 11G. Zahid
- 24P. Strand
- 55S. Jarl
- 3H. Sjåtil
- 4A. Kiil Olsen
- 26D. Gjengaar
- 1O. Hedvall
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sandefjord have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Valerenga have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Flint(away) | 1-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Start(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 2-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Viking(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fredrikstad(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Skeid(away) | 4-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(away) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sandefjord wins, 0 draws, 4 Valerenga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Valerenga 1-0 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Valerenga 5-2 Sandefjord | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Valerenga 2-1 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| May 11, 2025 | Sandefjord 2-1 Valerenga | Eliteserien |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Sandefjord 1-2 Valerenga | Eliteserien |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Valerenga 2-3 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Valerenga vs Sandefjord on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sandefjord score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Valerenga score 2.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandefjord | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Valerenga | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sandefjord sit 12th in Eliteserien (24 points from 22 matches) and Valerenga sit 13th (23 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 24 |
| 13 | Valerenga | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 45 | 23 |
A question about Sandefjord vs Valerenga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sandefjord vs Valerenga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sandefjord the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Valerenga.
- Where and when is Sandefjord vs Valerenga played?
- Sandefjord vs Valerenga is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Jotun Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.