Match

Boise vs Alta: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)

BoiseAlta

The Footlab model makes Boise the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Alta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Boise vs Alta?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Boise (1,719) and Alta (1,678).

Boise win56 %
Draw23 %
Alta win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boise have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Alta have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Boise
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026One Knoxville(away)2-2USL League One
Aug 13, 2026Sporting San Jose(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026Forward Madison(home)2-1USL League One
Aug 2, 2026Corpus Christi(home)0-0USL League One
Jul 29, 2026Greenville Triumph(away)2-3USL League One
Alta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Naples(home)1-2USL League One
Aug 15, 2026NY Cosmos(away)0-1USL League One
Aug 9, 2026Fort Wayne(home)3-0USL League One
Aug 5, 2026Naples(away)1-2USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Richmond Kickers(away)2-3USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Boise win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Alta win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Alta 2-2 BoiseUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Alta vs Boise on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Boise score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alta score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Boise1.51.3510/1510/15
Alta1.31.249/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Boise sit 6th in USL League One (35 points from 22 matches) and Alta sit 8th (32 points from 24 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Boise221057333135
8Alta24888332932

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Boise vs Alta?
The Footlab model makes Boise the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Alta.
Where and when is Boise vs Alta played?
Boise vs Alta is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC), in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Boise and Alta

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