Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 1, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
The Footlab model makes Bolívar the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Gualberto Villarroel SJ. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?
Bolívar is a heavy favourite: 1,828 Elo points against 1,500, a 328-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolívar have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Gualberto Villarroel SJ have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Real Oruro(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 22, 2026 | ABB(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Always Ready(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bolívar win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gualberto Villarroel SJ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-2 Bolívar | Primera División |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ 0-2 Bolívar | Primera División |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Bolívar 1-3 Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Bolívar 7-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-2 Bolívar | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3-2 Bolívar | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Bolívar on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bolívar score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gualberto Villarroel SJ score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolívar | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?
- The Footlab model makes Bolívar the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Gualberto Villarroel SJ.
- Where and when is Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ played?
- Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ is played on October 1, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Hernando Siles, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.