Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
The Footlab model makes Nacional Potosí the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Real Tomayapo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí?
Nacional Potosí starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,586 vs 1,440).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Tomayapo have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nacional Potosí have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Always Ready(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Real Oruro(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ABB(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ABB(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | The Strongest(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Real Tomayapo win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Nacional Potosí win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nacional Potosí 4-1 Real Tomayapo | Primera División |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Nacional Potosí 1-0 Real Tomayapo | Primera División |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Real Tomayapo 0-1 Nacional Potosí | Primera División |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Nacional Potosí 1-0 Real Tomayapo | Primera División |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Real Tomayapo 2-0 Nacional Potosí | Primera División |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Real Tomayapo 0-0 Nacional Potosí | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Nacional Potosí vs Real Tomayapo on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Tomayapo score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional Potosí score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Tomayapo | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Nacional Potosí | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí?
- The Footlab model makes Nacional Potosí the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Real Tomayapo.
- Where and when is Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí played?
- Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí is played on September 30, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio IV Centenario, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.