Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz de la Sierra
The Footlab model makes Blooming the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Independiente Petrolero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Blooming (1,563) and Independiente Petrolero (1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blooming have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Independiente Petrolero have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(away) | 2-5 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Real Potosí(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Always Ready(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Blooming(home) | 5-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | The Strongest(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Blooming win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Independiente Petrolero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero 5-2 Blooming | Copa de la División Profesional |
| May 13, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero 3-1 Blooming | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Blooming 1-0 Independiente Petrolero | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero 0-4 Blooming | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero 1-5 Blooming | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Blooming 5-0 Independiente Petrolero | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
Last archived meeting: Independiente Petrolero vs Blooming on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blooming score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente Petrolero score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blooming | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Independiente Petrolero | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero?
- The Footlab model makes Blooming the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Independiente Petrolero.
- Where and when is Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero played?
- Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero is played on October 2, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.