Universitario de Vinto vs Guabirá: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Universitario de Vinto the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Guabirá. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universitario de Vinto vs Guabirá?
Guabirá starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,586 vs 1,401).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universitario de Vinto have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Guabirá have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | The Strongest(away) | 3-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 1-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Real Tomayapo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(away) | 0-5 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Real Potosí(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Blooming(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 2-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | The Strongest(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | ABB(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Tomayapo(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Universitario de Vinto win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Guabirá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Guabirá 2-1 Universitario de Vinto | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto 1-1 Guabirá | Primera División |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto 5-2 Guabirá | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Guabirá 2-1 Universitario de Vinto | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Guabirá 3-0 Universitario de Vinto | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Universitario de Vinto 2-2 Guabirá | Copa de la División Profesional |
Last archived meeting: Guabirá vs Universitario de Vinto on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universitario de Vinto score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guabirá score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitario de Vinto | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Guabirá | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universitario de Vinto vs Guabirá?
- The Footlab model makes Universitario de Vinto the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Guabirá.
- Where and when is Universitario de Vinto vs Guabirá played?
- Universitario de Vinto vs Guabirá is played on September 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.