Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 1, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz de la Sierra
The Footlab model makes Oriente Petrolero the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for The Strongest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest?
The Strongest starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,660 vs 1,539).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oriente Petrolero have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; The Strongest have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | The Strongest(away) | 1-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Oruro(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 5-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 2-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Oriente Petrolero win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 The Strongest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | The Strongest 2-1 Oriente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Jul 16, 2026 | The Strongest 2-1 Oriente Petrolero | Primera División |
| Mar 11, 2026 | The Strongest 3-0 Oriente Petrolero | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 31, 2025 | The Strongest 1-2 Oriente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Oriente Petrolero 2-2 The Strongest | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Sep 29, 2025 | The Strongest 2-0 Oriente Petrolero | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: The Strongest vs Oriente Petrolero on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oriente Petrolero score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; The Strongest score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oriente Petrolero | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| The Strongest | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest?
- The Footlab model makes Oriente Petrolero the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for The Strongest.
- Where and when is Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest played?
- Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest is played on October 1, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.