Bolton vs Watford: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 15, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Full time
What was the result of Bolton vs Watford?
Bolton won 2-1 on September 15, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 3′Matt MillsBolton
- 42′K. DaviesBolton
- 58′Lloyd DoyleyWatford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolton have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Watford have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2012 | Hull City(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2012 | Crawley Town(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 24, 2012 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2012 | Derby(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Burnley(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2012 | Derby(away) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2012 | Bradford(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Birmingham(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2012 | Ipswich(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Crystal Palace(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolton score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Watford | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolton sit 8th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Watford sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Bolton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy