Wolves vs Watford: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Wolves the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Watford. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wolves vs Watford?
Wolves starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (2,091 vs 1,849).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wolves vs Watford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wolves
4-2-3-1- 10A. Armstrong
- 21Rodrigo Gomes
- 5M. Munetsi
- 7André
- 28Fer López
- 36M. Mane
- 34N. Djiga
- 3Hugo Bueno
- 24Toti Gomes
- 38J. Tchatchoua
- 1José Sá
Watford
4-2-3-1- 20M. Doumbia
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 17Iker Bravo
- 39E. Kayembe
- 21Amin Nabizada
- 11R. Vata
- 6M. Pollock
- 4K. Keben
- 33J. Zemura
- 3S. Coulibaly
- 1F. Ravaglia
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wolves have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Watford have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Everton(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Wolves wins, 0 draws, 2 Watford wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | Wolves 4-0 Watford | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Watford 0-2 Wolves | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2020 | Watford 2-1 Wolves | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Wolves 2-0 Watford | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2019 | Watford 1-2 Wolves | Premier League |
| Apr 7, 2019 | Watford 3-2 Wolves | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Wolves score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wolves sit 4th in Championship (14 points from 7 matches) and Watford sit 20th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 14 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Wolves vs Watford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wolves vs Watford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wolves the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Watford.
- Where and when is Wolves vs Watford played?
- Wolves vs Watford is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Molineux Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.