Botafogo vs Bahia: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 2, 2025 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Botafogo vs Bahia?
Botafogo won 2-1 on October 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 27′S. RodríguezBotafogo
- 46′JeffinhoBotafogo
- 55′Rodrigo NestorBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botafogo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bahia have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Fluminense(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Gremio(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Mirassol(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Ceara(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Fluminense(away) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Botafogo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Bahia 1-0 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Bahia 0-0 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Bahia 1-0 Botafogo | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Botafogo 1-1 Bahia | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 5, 2024 | Botafogo 1-2 Bahia | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Botafogo 3-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Botafogo score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Bahia | 1.5 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botafogo sit 11th in Serie A (30 points from 22 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (34 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 30 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy