Santos vs Gremio: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 2, 2025 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Santos vs Gremio?
Santos and Gremio drew 1-1 on October 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 57′EdenílsonGremio
- 89′L. DíazSantos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santos have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gremio have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Fluminense(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Bahia(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Vitoria(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Internacional(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Mirassol(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santos win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Gremio 1-0 Santos | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Santos 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Gremio 1-0 Santos | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Santos 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 25, 2021 | Gremio 2-2 Santos | Serie A |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Gremio 3-3 Santos | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Santos score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Gremio | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santos sit 14th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 35 | 25 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy