Vitoria vs Ceara: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 2, 2025 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Vitoria vs Ceara?
Vitoria won 1-0 on October 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 19′Zé MarcosVitoria
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Ceara have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Gremio(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Fluminense(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Flamengo(away) | 0-8 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2025 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Bahia(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Juventude(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Gremio(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vitoria win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Ceara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Ceara 1-0 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Vitoria 1-0 Ceara | Serie B |
| May 10, 2023 | Ceara 0-2 Vitoria | Serie B |
| Mar 9, 2023 | Vitoria 2-0 Ceara | Copa do Nordeste |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Ceara 2-0 Vitoria | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Ceara 3-1 Vitoria | Copa do Nordeste |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ceara score 0.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Ceara | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vitoria | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 33 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy