Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
The Footlab AI model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Septemvri Sofia. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Botev Plovdiv starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,793 vs 1,627).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1- 90S. Kalu
- 10A. Chandarov
- 77Lucas Araújo
- 7Alberto Salido
- 16V. Vidolov
- 13S. Tsonov
- 87S. Petrov
- 27B. Hein
- 82V. Mendes
- 4N. Soldo
- 29D. Naumov
Septemvri Sofia
4-2-3-1- 29F. Herard
- 5Y. Baurenski
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8B. Penchev
- 33G. Ivanov
- 13K. Önaşçı
- 4M. Hristov
- 26V. Ozornwafor
- 15P. Gospodinov
- 3Sebastian Wade
- 12V. Ivanov
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Plovdiv have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Septemvri Sofia have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Botev Plovdiv wins, 0 draws, 2 Septemvri Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia 0-3 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv 2-0 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia 1-3 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Botev Plovdiv 3-0 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Mar 10, 2023 | Septemvri Sofia 2-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Plovdiv score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Septemvri Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Plovdiv sit 5th in First League (19 points from 11 matches) and Septemvri Sofia sit 13th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 19 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Septemvri Sofia.
- Where and when is Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia played?
- Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.