Dunav Ruse vs Septemvri Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Rousse
The Footlab AI model makes Dunav Ruse the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Septemvri Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dunav Ruse wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunav Ruse vs Septemvri Sofia?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Dunav Ruse (1,687) and Septemvri Sofia (1,627).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dunav Ruse vs Septemvri Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dunav Ruse
3-5-2- 9Álex Valiño
- 11D. Minchev
- 14R. Apostolov
- 23Jordan Layn Saint-Louis
- 10K. Boychev
- 44V. Vidaković
- 17N. Fonkeu
- 88D. Todorov
- 5K. Antoniou
- 4J. Cabarcas
- 33G. Kitanov
Septemvri Sofia
4-2-3-1- 29F. Herard
- 5Y. Baurenski
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8B. Penchev
- 33G. Ivanov
- 13K. Önaşçı
- 4M. Hristov
- 26V. Ozornwafor
- 15P. Gospodinov
- 3Sebastian Wade
- 12V. Ivanov
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunav Ruse have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Septemvri Sofia have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dunav Ruse wins, 3 draws, 1 Septemvri Sofia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia 2-3 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia 1-2 Dunav Ruse | Second League |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Dunav Ruse 1-1 Septemvri Sofia | Second League |
| Apr 26, 2019 | Septemvri Sofia 1-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Apr 8, 2019 | Dunav Ruse 2-2 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Dec 9, 2018 | Septemvri Sofia 2-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dunav Ruse score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunav Ruse | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Septemvri Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunav Ruse sit 10th in First League (8 points from 11 matches) and Septemvri Sofia sit 13th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Dunav Ruse vs Septemvri Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunav Ruse vs Septemvri Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dunav Ruse the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Septemvri Sofia.
- Where and when is Dunav Ruse vs Septemvri Sofia played?
- Dunav Ruse vs Septemvri Sofia is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.