CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
CSKA Sofia starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,944 vs 1,756).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CSKA Sofia
4-4-2- 28I. Pittas
- 10J. Zwarts
- 7M. Ebong
- 8S. Sensi
- 6Bruno Jordão
- 99J. Eto'o
- 14T. Ivanov
- 17Á. Martino
- 2Pastor
- 32Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
- 21F. Lapoukhov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-2-3-1- 29Christ Longville
- 5T. Pavlov
- 11R. Leijten
- 39P. Umarbayev
- 10J. Iliev
- 7Sevi Idriz
- 2Adrián Cova
- 22I. Ivanov
- 12E. Ali
- 4A. Chindriş
- 1B. Milosavljevic
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Lokomotiv Plovdiv have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 4-2 | Super Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 CSKA Sofia wins, 3 draws, 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| May 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 CSKA Sofia | Cup |
| Dec 3, 2025 | CSKA Sofia 2-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | CSKA Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-2 CSKA Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Sofia score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Sofia sit 2nd in First League (27 points from 11 matches) and Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 27 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
A question about CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
- Where and when is CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv played?
- CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bâlgarska Armija, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.