Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Levski Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ludogorets wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Ludogorets (1,968) and Levski Sofia (1,990).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ludogorets
4-2-3-1- 12Rwan Cruz
- 23Deroy Duarte
- 14P. Stanić
- 6I. Zhelizko
- 18I. Chochev
- 17Son
- 42S. Shishkov
- 15E. Kurtulus
- 2J. Andersson
- 4Hossam Abdelmaguid
- 39H. Bonmann
Levski Sofia
4-3-3- 7Reinaldo
- 17Everton Bala
- 3Maicon
- 35Serginho
- 18G. Trdin
- 19E. El Moubarik
- 4C. Makoun
- 71O. Kamdem
- 20Álex Centelles
- 21Aldair
- 1O. Vladimirov
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Levski Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 5-0 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 2-4 | Super Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ludogorets wins, 2 draws, 0 Levski Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Ludogorets 1-1 Levski Sofia | First League |
| May 9, 2026 | Levski Sofia 0-1 Ludogorets | First League |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Ludogorets 1-0 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Ludogorets 1-0 Levski Sofia | Cup |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Levski Sofia 0-1 Ludogorets | Super Cup |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Levski Sofia 0-0 Ludogorets | First League |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Levski Sofia | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets sit 3rd in First League (26 points from 10 matches) and Levski Sofia sit 1st (28 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 26 |
A question about Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Levski Sofia.
- Where and when is Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia played?
- Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Huvepharma Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.