Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Aubagne: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Marcel-Verchère, Bourg-en-Bresse
The Footlab model makes Bourg-en-bresse 01 the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Aubagne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Aubagne?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Bourg-en-bresse 01 (1,705) and Aubagne (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bourg-en-bresse 01 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Aubagne have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Valenciennes(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Valenciennes(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Caen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bastia(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
| May 15, 2026 | Caen(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Bourg-en-bresse 01 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Aubagne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Aubagne 1-0 Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 0-0 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Aubagne 1-0 Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 2-1 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aubagne score 0.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Aubagne | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 sit 14th in Ligue 3 (3 points from 3 matches) and Aubagne sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 18 | Aubagne | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Aubagne?
- The Footlab model makes Bourg-en-bresse 01 the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Aubagne.
- Where and when is Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Aubagne played?
- Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Aubagne is played on February 13, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Marcel-Verchère, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.