Crystal Palace vs Sunderland: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Selhurst Park, London
The Footlab AI model makes Crystal Palace the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Sunderland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crystal Palace wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,052 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Sunderland?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Crystal Palace (2,188) and Sunderland (2,160).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crystal Palace vs Sunderland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 22J. Strand Larsen
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 18D. Kamada
- 25A. Khalaili
- 23Q. Timber
- 26C. Richards
- 6J. Canvot
- 5A. Disasi
- 44W. Benítez
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 57Timur Tuterov
- 34G. Xhaka
- 27N. Sadiki
- 28E. Le Fée
- 32T. Hume
- 10N. Angulo
- 20N. Mukiele
- 4K. Danso
- 17Reinildo
- 15O. Alderete
- 22R. Roefs
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 08:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crystal Palace have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sunderland have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Crystal Palace win, 2 draws, 3 Sunderland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Sunderland 2-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Crystal Palace 0-0 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Crystal Palace 0-4 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Sunderland 2-3 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2016 | Sunderland 2-2 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2015 | Crystal Palace 0-1 Sunderland | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Sunderland vs Crystal Palace on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crystal Palace score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Sunderland | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crystal Palace sit 14th in Premier League (7 points from 7 matches) and Sunderland sit 20th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 7 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Crystal Palace vs Sunderland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Sunderland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crystal Palace the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Sunderland.
- Where and when is Crystal Palace vs Sunderland played?
- Crystal Palace vs Sunderland is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Selhurst Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.