Brackley Town vs Southport: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. James Park, Brackley, Northamptonshire
The Footlab model makes Southport the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Brackley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brackley Town vs Southport?
Southport starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brackley Town have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Southport have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Brackley Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Southport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Brackley Town 1-0 Southport | National League - North |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Southport 0-0 Brackley Town | National League - North |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Southport 3-1 Brackley Town | National League - North |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Brackley Town 0-0 Southport | National League - North |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Brackley Town 1-0 Southport | National League - North |
| Nov 8, 2022 | Southport 2-2 Brackley Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Brackley Town vs Southport on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Brackley Town score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Southport score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brackley Town | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Southport | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brackley Town sit 15th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Southport sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Southport | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Brackley Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brackley Town vs Southport?
- The Footlab model makes Southport the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Brackley Town.
- Where and when is Brackley Town vs Southport played?
- Brackley Town vs Southport is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St. James Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.