Macclesfield vs Chester: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Leasing.com Stadium, Macclesfield, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Chester. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macclesfield vs Chester?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Macclesfield (1,937) and Chester (1,926).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macclesfield have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Chester have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marine(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Macclesfield win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Chester win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Macclesfield 2-1 Chester | National League - North |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Macclesfield 0-2 Chester | National League - North |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Chester 2-0 Macclesfield | National League - North |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Macclesfield 0-1 Chester | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 2, 2018 | Macclesfield 1-0 Chester | National League |
| Aug 28, 2017 | Chester 0-2 Macclesfield | National League |
Last archived meeting: Macclesfield vs Chester on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Macclesfield score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macclesfield | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macclesfield sit 4th in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Chester sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macclesfield vs Chester?
- The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Chester.
- Where and when is Macclesfield vs Chester played?
- Macclesfield vs Chester is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Leasing.com Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027ChorleyvsWorksop Town
- Jan 30, 2027AFC Telford UnitedvsRadcliffe
- Jan 30, 2027Brackley TownvsSouthport
- Jan 30, 2027MarinevsHebburn Town
- Jan 30, 2027Hednesford TownvsBuxton
- Jan 30, 2027Merthyr TownvsSpalding United
- Jan 30, 2027Scarborough AthleticvsOxford City
- Jan 30, 2027South ShieldsvsBedford Town