Chorley vs Worksop Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Chorley the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Worksop Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chorley vs Worksop Town?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Chorley (1,780) and Worksop Town (1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Worksop Town have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Marine(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chester(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Trafford(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Chorley win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Worksop Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chorley 2-1 Worksop Town | National League - North |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Worksop Town 1-1 Chorley | National League - North |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Chorley 2-3 Worksop Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Chorley vs Worksop Town on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Worksop Town score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chorley | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Worksop Town | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chorley sit 9th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and Worksop Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chorley | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Worksop Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chorley vs Worksop Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chorley the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Worksop Town.
- Where and when is Chorley vs Worksop Town played?
- Chorley vs Worksop Town is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027MacclesfieldvsChester
- Jan 30, 2027AFC Telford UnitedvsRadcliffe
- Jan 30, 2027Brackley TownvsSouthport
- Jan 30, 2027MarinevsHebburn Town
- Jan 30, 2027Hednesford TownvsBuxton
- Jan 30, 2027Merthyr TownvsSpalding United
- Jan 30, 2027Scarborough AthleticvsOxford City
- Jan 30, 2027South ShieldsvsBedford Town