Where and when is Hednesford Town vs Buxton played?

Hednesford Town vs Buxton is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Keys Park, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hednesford Town vs Buxton: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Keys Park, Hednesford, Staffordshire

Hednesford Town

Buxton

The Footlab model makes Hednesford Town the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Buxton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hednesford Town vs Buxton?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Hednesford Town (1,858) and Buxton (1,888).

Hednesford Town win39 %

Draw25 %

Buxton win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hednesford Town have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Buxton have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hednesford Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	AFC Telford United(away)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Southport(home)	2-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(home)	3-4	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Merthyr Town(away)	0-2	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Boston United(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

Buxton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hebburn Town(home)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Bedford Town(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Southport(away)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Hereford(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Warrington Town(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hednesford Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Buxton win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 10, 2012	Buxton 2-1 Hednesford Town	FA Cup
Oct 6, 2012	Hednesford Town 2-2 Buxton	FA Cup

Last archived meeting: Buxton vs Hednesford Town on Oct 10, 2012

How many goals should we expect?

Hednesford Town score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hednesford Town	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	8/15
Buxton	2.1	1.2	4	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hednesford Town sit 23rd in National League - North (2 points from 4 matches) and Buxton sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Buxton	4	1	1	2	5	6	4
23	Hednesford Town	4	0	2	2	6	9	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hednesford Town vs Buxton?: The Footlab model makes Hednesford Town the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Buxton.
Where and when is Hednesford Town vs Buxton played?: Hednesford Town vs Buxton is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Keys Park, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.