Hednesford Town vs Buxton: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Keys Park, Hednesford, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Hednesford Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Buxton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hednesford Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hednesford Town vs Buxton?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Hednesford Town (1,914) and Buxton (1,906).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hednesford Town vs Buxton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hednesford Town
Not enough data to predict the Hednesford Town lineup.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hednesford Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Buxton have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hednesford Town wins, 1 draw, 1 Buxton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2012 | Buxton 2-1 Hednesford Town | FA Cup |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Hednesford Town 2-2 Buxton | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Buxton vs Hednesford Town on Oct 10, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Hednesford Town score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hednesford Town | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hednesford Town sit 7th in National League - North (18 points from 12 matches) and Buxton sit 11th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hednesford Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 18 |
| 11 | Buxton | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 17 |
A question about Hednesford Town vs Buxton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hednesford Town vs Buxton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hednesford Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Buxton.
- Where and when is Hednesford Town vs Buxton played?
- Hednesford Town vs Buxton is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Keys Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027MacclesfieldvsChester
- Jan 30, 2027ChorleyvsWorksop Town
- Jan 30, 2027AFC Telford UnitedvsRadcliffe
- Jan 30, 2027Brackley TownvsSouthport
- Jan 30, 2027MarinevsHebburn Town
- Jan 30, 2027Merthyr TownvsSpalding United
- Jan 30, 2027Scarborough AthleticvsOxford City
- Jan 30, 2027South ShieldsvsBedford Town