Bragança vs Tirsense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 7Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Bragança, Bragança
The Footlab model makes Bragança the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Tirsense. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bragança vs Tirsense?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Bragança (1,879) and Tirsense (1,883).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bragança have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tirsense have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Braga B(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Brito(away) | 3-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| May 31, 2026 | Leça(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 23, 2026 | Vianense(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 17, 2026 | Rebordosa(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rebordosa(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chaves II(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bragança win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tirsense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Tirsense 1-2 Bragança | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Bragança 2-2 Tirsense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Tirsense 0-1 Bragança | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Bragança 1-0 Tirsense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Tirsense 2-0 Bragança | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Bragança 2-2 Tirsense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bragança score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tirsense score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bragança | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Tirsense | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bragança sit 5th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (4 points from 2 matches) and Tirsense sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tirsense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Bragança | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bragança vs Tirsense?
- The Footlab model makes Bragança the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Tirsense.
- Where and when is Bragança vs Tirsense played?
- Bragança vs Tirsense is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Bragança, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.