Bragança vs Tirsense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 7Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Bragança, Bragança
The Footlab AI model makes Bragança the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Tirsense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bragança wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bragança vs Tirsense?
On Elo ratings, Bragança has 1,922 points and Tirsense 1,909.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bragança vs Tirsense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bragança
Not enough data to predict the Bragança lineup.
Tirsense
Not enough data to predict the Tirsense lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 12:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bragança have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tirsense have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montalegre(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celoricense(home) | 6-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Maia Lidador(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brito(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celoricense(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bragança wins, 2 draws, 1 Tirsense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Tirsense 1-2 Bragança | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Bragança 2-2 Tirsense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Tirsense 0-1 Bragança | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Bragança 1-0 Tirsense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Tirsense 2-0 Bragança | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Bragança 2-2 Tirsense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bragança score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tirsense score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bragança | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Tirsense | 1.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bragança sit 1st in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (10 points from 4 matches) and Tirsense sit 2nd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bragança | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Tirsense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
A question about Bragança vs Tirsense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bragança vs Tirsense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bragança the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Tirsense.
- Where and when is Bragança vs Tirsense played?
- Bragança vs Tirsense is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Bragança, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.