Celoricense vs Rebordosa: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 7Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto, Celorico de Basto
The Footlab AI model makes Celoricense the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Rebordosa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celoricense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celoricense vs Rebordosa?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Celoricense (1,873) and Rebordosa (1,930).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celoricense vs Rebordosa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celoricense
4-3-3- 80Juninho
- 11J. Renteria
- LLucas
- 10D. Alves
- 7Didi
- 14Matchu
- 70J. Padi
- 13C. Mendes
- 17Diogo Miguel
- 18N. Pinto
- 99G. Machado
Rebordosa
Not enough data to predict the Rebordosa lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celoricense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Rebordosa have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vila Meã(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 1-6 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Chaves II(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pevidem(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vila Meã(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Alpendorada(home) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chaves II(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Celoricense score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rebordosa score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celoricense | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Rebordosa | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celoricense sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (7 points from 4 matches) and Rebordosa sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celoricense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Rebordosa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
A question about Celoricense vs Rebordosa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celoricense vs Rebordosa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celoricense the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Rebordosa.
- Where and when is Celoricense vs Rebordosa played?
- Celoricense vs Rebordosa is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.