Tikveš vs Bregalnica Štip: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Kavadarci
The Footlab model makes Tikveš the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Bregalnica Štip. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tikveš vs Bregalnica Štip?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Tikveš (1,621) and Bregalnica Štip (1,574).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tikveš have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bregalnica Štip have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(away) | 5-0 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| May 25, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 4-0 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| May 23, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 7-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tikveš win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bregalnica Štip win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Bregalnica Štip 2-1 Tikveš | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Tikveš 2-1 Bregalnica Štip | First League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Bregalnica Štip 2-1 Tikveš | First League |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Tikveš 2-1 Bregalnica Štip | First League |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Bregalnica Štip 0-0 Tikveš | First League |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Bregalnica Štip 1-0 Tikveš | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Bregalnica Štip vs Tikveš on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tikveš score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bregalnica Štip score 2.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tikveš | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Bregalnica Štip | 2.6 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tikveš sit 3rd in First League (7 points from 4 matches) and Bregalnica Štip sit 5th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tikveš | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Bregalnica Štip | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tikveš vs Bregalnica Štip?
- The Footlab model makes Tikveš the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Bregalnica Štip.
- Where and when is Tikveš vs Bregalnica Štip played?
- Tikveš vs Bregalnica Štip is played on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.