Breitenrain vs Bellinzona: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Spitalacker, Bern
The Footlab model makes Breitenrain the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Bellinzona. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Breitenrain vs Bellinzona?
Breitenrain starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,698 vs 1,590).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Breitenrain have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bellinzona have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Young Boys II(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paradiso(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Young Boys II(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Basel II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rotkreuz(away) | 1-4 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bavois(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Breitenrain win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Bellinzona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2022 | Breitenrain 1-1 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 13, 2022 | Bellinzona 1-2 Breitenrain | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Breitenrain 3-2 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Jun 12, 2021 | Bellinzona 2-1 Breitenrain | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Breitenrain 3-3 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Breitenrain 3-3 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Breitenrain vs Bellinzona on May 14, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Breitenrain score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bellinzona score 1.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breitenrain | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Bellinzona | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Breitenrain sit 6th in 1. Liga Promotion (7 points from 4 matches) and Bellinzona sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Breitenrain | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Breitenrain vs Bellinzona?
- The Footlab model makes Breitenrain the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Bellinzona.
- Where and when is Breitenrain vs Bellinzona played?
- Breitenrain vs Bellinzona is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Spitalacker, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.