Bristol City vs Birmingham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 2, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Bristol City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Birmingham wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol City vs Birmingham?
Birmingham starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,857).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol City vs Birmingham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol City
4-2-3-1- 9L. Tolaj
- 12J. Knight
- 23D. Ballard
- 21Rio Cardines
- 8J. Williams
- 27G. Yah
- 19G. Tanner
- 3C. Pring
- 15L. McNally
- 2L. Eissat
- 40B. Collins
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 24T. Iwata
- 17L. Millar
- 28J. Stansfield
- 14J. Solis
- 16P. Roberts
- 5P. Neumann
- 4C. Klarer
- 20A. Cochrane
- 2E. Laird
- 1J. Beadle
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 06:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol City have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Birmingham have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | QPR(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Preston(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bristol City wins, 2 draws, 2 Birmingham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Birmingham 2-2 Bristol City | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Birmingham 2-1 Bristol City | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Bristol City 1-0 Birmingham | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Bristol City 0-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Bristol City 4-2 Birmingham | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Birmingham vs Bristol City on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol City score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol City sit 15th in Championship (18 points from 13 matches) and Birmingham sit 2nd (26 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 26 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 18 |
A question about Bristol City vs Birmingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol City vs Birmingham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Bristol City.
- Where and when is Bristol City vs Birmingham played?
- Bristol City vs Birmingham is played on March 2, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Ashton Gate Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.