Middlesbrough vs Blackburn: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 2, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Blackburn. The most likely score is 1-1. If Middlesbrough wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Blackburn?
On Elo ratings, Middlesbrough has 2,009 points and Blackburn 1,914.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Middlesbrough vs Blackburn
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Middlesbrough
3-4-2-1- 7W. Lankshear
- 2C. Brittain
- 10A. Morris
- 11A. Cozier-Duberry
- 30Neto Borges
- 6S. Berhalter
- 8R. McGree
- 29A. Malanda
- 4A. Phillips
- 12L. Ayling
- 1R. Vítek
Blackburn
4-2-3-1- 9A. Guðjohnsen
- 25R. Morishita
- 21O. Afolayan
- 10T. Cantwell
- 31Kristi Montgomery
- 8Sam Morsy
- 15S. McLoughlin
- 2R. Alebiosu
- 17H. Carter
- 3H. Pickering
- 22B. Tóth
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Blackburn have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Middlesbrough win, 2 draws, 3 Blackburn wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blackburn 2-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Blackburn 0-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Middlesbrough 0-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Blackburn 0-2 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn | FA Cup |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Middlesbrough score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Blackburn score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Blackburn | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Middlesbrough sit 2nd in Championship (21 points from 10 matches) and Blackburn sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 7 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
A question about Middlesbrough vs Blackburn?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough vs Blackburn?
- The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Blackburn.
- Where and when is Middlesbrough vs Blackburn played?
- Middlesbrough vs Blackburn is played on March 2, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Riverside Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.