Needham Market vs Stourbridge: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, Needham Market, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Needham Market the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Needham Market vs Stourbridge?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Needham Market (1,768) and Stourbridge (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Needham Market have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Stourbridge have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Needham Market win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Stourbridge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Stourbridge 0-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Needham Market 3-0 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Stourbridge 1-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Needham Market 1-0 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Stourbridge 0-0 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Needham Market 0-1 Stourbridge | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Needham Market on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Needham Market | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Stourbridge | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Needham Market sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 3 matches) and Stourbridge sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Needham Market vs Stourbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Needham Market the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Stourbridge.
- Where and when is Needham Market vs Stourbridge played?
- Needham Market vs Stourbridge is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Hitchin TownvsWorcester City
- Nov 7, 2026Halesowen TownvsAnstey Nomads
- Nov 7, 2026AlvechurchvsLeighton Town
- Nov 7, 2026Banbury UnitedvsLeamington
- Nov 7, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsStratford Town
- Nov 7, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsLeiston
- Nov 7, 2026Peterborough SportsvsStamford
- Nov 7, 2026Kettering TownvsRedditch United