Racing Club Warwick vs Bury Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Townsend Meadow, Warwick, Warwickshire
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Racing Club Warwick. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Club Warwick vs Bury Town?
Bury Town starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Club Warwick have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hitchin Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | St Neots Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Club Warwick score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club Warwick | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Club Warwick sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Racing Club Warwick | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Club Warwick vs Bury Town?
- The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Racing Club Warwick.
- Where and when is Racing Club Warwick vs Bury Town played?
- Racing Club Warwick vs Bury Town is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Townsend Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Hitchin TownvsWorcester City
- Nov 7, 2026Halesowen TownvsAnstey Nomads
- Nov 7, 2026AlvechurchvsLeighton Town
- Nov 7, 2026Banbury UnitedvsLeamington
- Nov 7, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsStratford Town
- Nov 7, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsLeiston
- Nov 7, 2026Needham MarketvsStourbridge
- Nov 7, 2026Peterborough SportsvsStamford