Match

Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)

BrooklynSporting JAX

The Footlab model makes Brooklyn the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Sporting JAX. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Brooklyn (1,669) and Sporting JAX (1,634).

Brooklyn win51 %
Draw25 %
Sporting JAX win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brooklyn have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Sporting JAX have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Brooklyn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home)0-1USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026Las Vegas Lights(away)1-2USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026Charleston Battery(away)0-5USL Championship
Jul 25, 2026San Antonio(home)0-1USL Championship
Jul 18, 2026Sporting JAX(away)2-2USL Championship
Sporting JAX
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Birmingham Legion(away)3-2USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026Indy Eleven(home)0-1USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026Sacramento Republic(away)0-5USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026El Paso Locomotive(away)0-2USL Championship
Jul 18, 2026Brooklyn(home)2-2USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Brooklyn win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sporting JAX win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Sporting JAX 2-2 BrooklynUSL Championship
May 31, 2026Sporting JAX 2-2 BrooklynUSL Championship

Last archived meeting: Sporting JAX vs Brooklyn on Jul 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Brooklyn score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting JAX score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Brooklyn1.21.918/158/15
Sporting JAX1.52.5110/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Brooklyn sit 11th in USL Championship (9 points from 12 matches) and Sporting JAX sit 13th (3 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Brooklyn1223713229
12Brooklyn193412183513
13Sporting JAX13031015343
13Sporting JAX212514265411

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX?
The Footlab model makes Brooklyn the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Sporting JAX.
Where and when is Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX played?
Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Brooklyn and Sporting JAX

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