Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX: prediction and stats
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Brooklyn the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Sporting JAX. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Brooklyn (1,669) and Sporting JAX (1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brooklyn have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Sporting JAX have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Las Vegas Lights(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Charleston Battery(away) | 0-5 | USL Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | San Antonio(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sporting JAX(away) | 2-2 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Birmingham Legion(away) | 3-2 | USL Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Indy Eleven(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sacramento Republic(away) | 0-5 | USL Championship |
| Jul 26, 2026 | El Paso Locomotive(away) | 0-2 | USL Championship |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Brooklyn(home) | 2-2 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Brooklyn win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sporting JAX win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sporting JAX 2-2 Brooklyn | USL Championship |
| May 31, 2026 | Sporting JAX 2-2 Brooklyn | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sporting JAX vs Brooklyn on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brooklyn score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting JAX score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sporting JAX | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brooklyn sit 11th in USL Championship (9 points from 12 matches) and Sporting JAX sit 13th (3 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Brooklyn | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 9 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 35 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 54 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX?
- The Footlab model makes Brooklyn the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Sporting JAX.
- Where and when is Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX played?
- Brooklyn vs Sporting JAX is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the USL Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2026Lexington1-2Louisville City
- Mar 7, 2026Charleston Battery2-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Mar 8, 2026Sporting JAX0-3Hartford Athletic
- Mar 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Mar 8, 2026San Antonio2-1Phoenix Rising
- Mar 8, 2026El Paso Locomotive2-2Colorado Springs
- Mar 8, 2026Sacramento Republic2-0FC Tulsa
- Mar 8, 2026Monterey Bay0-1Oakland Roots