BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Erzgebirge Aue: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 28Kick-off on April 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes BSG Chemie Leipzig the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Erzgebirge Aue. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Erzgebirge Aue?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate BSG Chemie Leipzig (1,799) and Erzgebirge Aue (1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Erzgebirge Aue have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Erzgebirge Aue win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2023 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Erzgebirge Aue on Jul 22, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Erzgebirge Aue score 2.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 2.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nordost (1 points from 6 matches) and Erzgebirge Aue sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erzgebirge Aue | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Erzgebirge Aue?
- The Footlab model makes BSG Chemie Leipzig the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Erzgebirge Aue.
- Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Erzgebirge Aue played?
- BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Erzgebirge Aue is played on April 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 7, 2027FSV ZwickauvsHertha BSC II
- Apr 7, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsTasmania Berlin
- Apr 7, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsRSV Eintracht
- Apr 7, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Apr 7, 2027BFC PreussenvsHallescher FC
- Apr 7, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsLuckenwalde
- Apr 7, 2027AltglienickevsMagdeburg II
- Apr 7, 2027Greifswalder FCvsBFC Dynamo