SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 28Kick-off on April 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, Potsdam
The Footlab model makes SV Babelsberg 03 the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate SV Babelsberg 03 (1,863) and Luckenwalde (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Babelsberg 03 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Luckenwalde have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Luckenwalde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03 2-3 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Luckenwalde 0-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 10, 2025 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-2 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Luckenwalde 2-2 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Luckenwalde 1-2 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 22, 2023 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-2 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Babelsberg 03 sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nordost (5 points from 5 matches) and Luckenwalde sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde?
- The Footlab model makes SV Babelsberg 03 the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde played?
- SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde is played on April 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 7, 2027FSV ZwickauvsHertha BSC II
- Apr 7, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsTasmania Berlin
- Apr 7, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsRSV Eintracht
- Apr 7, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Apr 7, 2027BFC PreussenvsHallescher FC
- Apr 7, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsErzgebirge Aue
- Apr 7, 2027AltglienickevsMagdeburg II
- Apr 7, 2027Greifswalder FCvsBFC Dynamo