Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on April 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 28Kick-off on April 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

Lokomotive Leipzig

The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Lokomotive Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (2,021) and Lokomotive Leipzig (1,971).

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win47 %

Draw23 %

Lokomotive Leipzig win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Lokomotive Leipzig have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Luckenwalde(away)	5-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026	Magdeburg II(home)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	6-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost

Lokomotive Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Chemnitzer FC(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 16, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(away)	3-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Hertha BSC II(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	BFC Preussen(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026	Magdeburg II(home)	3-3	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 5, 2025	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-2 Lokomotive Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
May 18, 2025	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-4 Lokomotive Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
Dec 1, 2024	Lokomotive Leipzig 0-0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost
Apr 13, 2024	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 29, 2023	Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2.7	1.1	5	8/15	11/15
Lokomotive Leipzig	1.8	1.7	2	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	6	5	1	0	22	4	16
6	Lokomotive Leipzig	6	3	1	2	12	11	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig?: The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Lokomotive Leipzig.
Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on April 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.