Greifswalder FC vs BFC Dynamo: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 28Kick-off on April 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Volksstadion Greifswald, Greifswald
The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for BFC Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Greifswalder FC vs BFC Dynamo?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Greifswalder FC (1,907) and BFC Dynamo (1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greifswalder FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; BFC Dynamo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Greifswalder FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 BFC Dynamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Greifswalder FC 0-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 16, 2025 | BFC Dynamo 2-0 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 28, 2025 | BFC Dynamo 1-4 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 1-2 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 23, 2024 | BFC Dynamo 0-0 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Greifswalder FC 0-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Greifswalder FC vs BFC Dynamo on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Dynamo score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greifswalder FC | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| BFC Dynamo | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Greifswalder FC sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 5 matches) and BFC Dynamo sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | BFC Dynamo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Greifswalder FC vs BFC Dynamo?
- The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for BFC Dynamo.
- Where and when is Greifswalder FC vs BFC Dynamo played?
- Greifswalder FC vs BFC Dynamo is played on April 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Volksstadion Greifswald, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 7, 2027FSV ZwickauvsHertha BSC II
- Apr 7, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsTasmania Berlin
- Apr 7, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsRSV Eintracht
- Apr 7, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Apr 7, 2027BFC PreussenvsHallescher FC
- Apr 7, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsLuckenwalde
- Apr 7, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsErzgebirge Aue
- Apr 7, 2027AltglienickevsMagdeburg II