BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 8Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?
FSV Zwickau starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSG Chemie Leipzig have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FSV Zwickau have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 FSV Zwickau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | FSV Zwickau 1-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 29, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-2 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 11, 2025 | FSV Zwickau 1-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 24, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-2 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 10, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-2 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 22, 2023 | FSV Zwickau 0-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FSV Zwickau vs BSG Chemie Leipzig on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Zwickau score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| FSV Zwickau | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nordost (1 points from 5 matches) and FSV Zwickau sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FSV Zwickau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau?
- The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
- Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau played?
- BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsLuckenwalde
- Sep 13, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsHertha BSC II
- Sep 13, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsRSV Eintracht
- Sep 13, 2026BFC PreussenvsMagdeburg II
- Sep 13, 2026SV Babelsberg 03vsHallescher FC
- Sep 13, 2026BFC DynamovsTasmania Berlin
- Sep 13, 2026AltglienickevsChemnitzer FC
- Sep 13, 2026Greifswalder FCvsLokomotive Leipzig