Where and when is BFC Dynamo vs Tasmania Berlin played?

BFC Dynamo vs Tasmania Berlin is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

BFC Dynamo vs Tasmania Berlin: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 8Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, Berlin

BFC Dynamo

Tasmania Berlin

The Footlab model makes BFC Dynamo the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BFC Dynamo vs Tasmania Berlin?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate BFC Dynamo (1,843) and Tasmania Berlin (1,812).

BFC Dynamo win45 %

Draw25 %

Tasmania Berlin win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Dynamo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tasmania Berlin have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BFC Dynamo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Hertha BSC II(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	FSV Zwickau(home)	0-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 6, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(away)	2-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	BSG Chemie Leipzig(home)	2-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 24, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	1-4	Regionalliga - Nordost

Tasmania Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(home)	2-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Luckenwalde(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	0-6	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-5	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 BFC Dynamo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tasmania Berlin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 17, 2026	Tasmania Berlin 1-0 BFC Dynamo	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 11, 2022	Tasmania Berlin 0-3 BFC Dynamo	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 18, 2021	BFC Dynamo 6-0 Tasmania Berlin	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs BFC Dynamo on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BFC Dynamo score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
BFC Dynamo	1.4	1.3	6	7/15	7/15
Tasmania Berlin	2.3	2.5	3	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BFC Dynamo sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nordost (5 points from 5 matches) and Tasmania Berlin sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	BFC Dynamo	5	1	2	2	6	8	5
16	Tasmania Berlin	5	1	0	4	6	18	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BFC Dynamo vs Tasmania Berlin?: The Footlab model makes BFC Dynamo the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Tasmania Berlin.
Where and when is BFC Dynamo vs Tasmania Berlin played?: BFC Dynamo vs Tasmania Berlin is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.