Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 8Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Volksstadion Greifswald, Greifswald
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Greifswalder FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Greifswalder FC (1,900) and Lokomotive Leipzig (1,983).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greifswalder FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Lokomotive Leipzig have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Greifswalder FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Greifswalder FC 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 0-0 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 4-0 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Lokomotive Leipzig 0-1 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greifswalder FC | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Greifswalder FC sit 7th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 5 matches) and Lokomotive Leipzig sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 7 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Greifswalder FC.
- Where and when is Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?
- Greifswalder FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Volksstadion Greifswald, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsLuckenwalde
- Sep 13, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsHertha BSC II
- Sep 13, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsRSV Eintracht
- Sep 13, 2026BFC PreussenvsMagdeburg II
- Sep 13, 2026SV Babelsberg 03vsHallescher FC
- Sep 13, 2026BFC DynamovsTasmania Berlin
- Sep 13, 2026BSG Chemie LeipzigvsFSV Zwickau
- Sep 13, 2026AltglienickevsChemnitzer FC