Bucaspor 1928 vs Eskişehirspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Buca Stadı, İzmir
The Footlab model makes Eskişehirspor the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bucaspor 1928. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bucaspor 1928 vs Eskişehirspor?
Eskişehirspor starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,684 vs 1,540).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucaspor 1928 have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Eskişehirspor have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Altınordu(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 3-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Bucaspor 1928 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Eskişehirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | Bucaspor 1928 3-1 Eskişehirspor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Eskişehirspor 0-4 Bucaspor 1928 | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Bucaspor 1928 vs Eskişehirspor on Feb 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Bucaspor 1928 score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Eskişehirspor score 2.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucaspor 1928 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Eskişehirspor | 2.3 | 0.3 | 12 | 2/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bucaspor 1928 vs Eskişehirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Eskişehirspor the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bucaspor 1928.
- Where and when is Bucaspor 1928 vs Eskişehirspor played?
- Bucaspor 1928 vs Eskişehirspor is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Buca Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.