Where and when is Kepezspor vs Bigaspor played?

Kepezspor vs Bigaspor is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hasan Doğan Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kepezspor vs Bigaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hasan Doğan Stadyumu, Antalya

Kepezspor

Bigaspor

The Footlab model makes Kepezspor the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bigaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kepezspor vs Bigaspor?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Kepezspor (1,535) and Bigaspor (1,547).

Kepezspor win41 %

Draw28 %

Bigaspor win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kepezspor have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Bigaspor have 2, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kepezspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(away)	0-6	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Altınordu(home)	2-4	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)	0-1	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Ankaragücü(home)	2-3	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Elazığspor(away)	1-3	2. Lig

Bigaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 1, 2023	Etimesgut SK(away)	0-1	Türkiye Kupası
Oct 12, 2023	Karsiyaka(away)	1-0	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 27, 2023	Bilecik 1969 Spor(home)	0-0	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 17, 2023	Sökespor(away)	0-0	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 29, 2022	Menemen FK(away)	2-3	Türkiye Kupası

How many goals should we expect?

Kepezspor score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bigaspor score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kepezspor	1.0	2.1	3	10/15	9/15
Bigaspor	0.7	1.1	5	3/9	3/9

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kepezspor vs Bigaspor?: The Footlab model makes Kepezspor the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bigaspor.
Where and when is Kepezspor vs Bigaspor played?: Kepezspor vs Bigaspor is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hasan Doğan Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.