Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 30Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Bucheon Stadium, Bucheon
The Footlab model makes Bucheon FC 1995 the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Bucheon FC 1995 (1,743) and Gimcheon Sangmu FC (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucheon FC 1995 have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Gimcheon Sangmu FC have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FC Seoul(away) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(home) | 3-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(home) | 3-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gwangju FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Incheon United(away) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Seoul(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bucheon FC 1995 win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Gimcheon Sangmu FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-1 Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995 0-2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| May 14, 2025 | Bucheon FC 1995 3-1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | FA Cup |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3-1 Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 2 |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Bucheon FC 1995 0-3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 2 |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC 4-1 Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bucheon FC 1995 score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gimcheon Sangmu FC score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bucheon FC 1995 sit 10th in K League 1 (30 points from 25 matches) and Gimcheon Sangmu FC sit 11th (27 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 28 | 30 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 25 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
- The Footlab model makes Bucheon FC 1995 the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
- Where and when is Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC played?
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC is played on September 19, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Bucheon Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.