Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 30Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju
The Footlab model makes Jeonbuk Motors the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Gwangju FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC?
Jeonbuk Motors starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jeonbuk Motors have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Gwangju FC have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 2-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jeju United FC(home) | 1-3 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Gangwon FC(away) | 2-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Incheon United(home) | 0-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(home) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Jeonbuk Motors win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Gwangju FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors 4-0 Gwangju FC | K League 1 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Gwangju FC 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Gwangju FC 1-2 Jeonbuk Motors | FA Cup |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Gwangju FC 1-2 Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| May 11, 2025 | Gwangju FC 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Jeonbuk Motors 2-2 Gwangju FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jeonbuk Motors score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gwangju FC score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeonbuk Motors | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Gwangju FC | 0.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jeonbuk Motors sit 2nd in K League 1 (38 points from 25 matches) and Gwangju FC sit 12th (12 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 22 | 38 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 25 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 52 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC?
- The Footlab model makes Jeonbuk Motors the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Gwangju FC.
- Where and when is Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC played?
- Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC is played on September 20, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Jeonju World Cup Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.