Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 30Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Chuncheon
The Footlab model makes Gangwon FC the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Jeju United FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Gangwon FC (1,781) and Jeju United FC (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gangwon FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Jeju United FC have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Gwangju FC(home) | 2-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(away) | 0-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(away) | 3-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(home) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Anyang(home) | 2-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 3-1 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gangwon FC win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Jeju United FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Jeju United FC 1-1 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Gangwon FC 1-1 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Jeju United FC 0-0 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| May 6, 2025 | Jeju United FC 0-3 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Gangwon FC 0-0 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Gangwon FC 4-0 Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jeju United FC vs Gangwon FC on Jul 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gangwon FC score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jeju United FC score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangwon FC | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Jeju United FC | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gangwon FC sit 4th in K League 1 (36 points from 24 matches) and Jeju United FC sit 5th (35 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 36 |
| 5 | Jeju United FC | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC?
- The Footlab model makes Gangwon FC the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Jeju United FC.
- Where and when is Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC played?
- Gangwon FC vs Jeju United FC is played on September 20, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Chuncheon Songam Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.