Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 30Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Steelyard Stadium, Pohang
The Footlab model makes FC Seoul the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Pohang Steelers. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul?
FC Seoul starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,861 vs 1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pohang Steelers have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; FC Seoul have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gwangju FC(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 0-2 | K League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(home) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 7-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(home) | 4-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pohang Steelers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC Seoul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | FC Seoul 3-1 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Pohang Steelers 0-1 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Pohang Steelers 0-0 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | FC Seoul 1-2 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Jun 29, 2025 | FC Seoul 4-1 Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Pohang Steelers 1-0 FC Seoul | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: FC Seoul vs Pohang Steelers on Jul 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pohang Steelers score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC Seoul score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pohang Steelers | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Seoul | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pohang Steelers sit 6th in K League 1 (34 points from 25 matches) and FC Seoul sit 1st (53 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 53 |
| 6 | Pohang Steelers | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul?
- The Footlab model makes FC Seoul the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Pohang Steelers.
- Where and when is Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul played?
- Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul is played on September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Steelyard Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.