Buchholz vs Pinneberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 33Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Otto-Koch-Kampfbahn, Buchholz in der Nordheide
The Footlab AI model makes Pinneberg the favourite at 41%, against 20% for a draw and 39% for Buchholz. The most likely score is 2-2. If Pinneberg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buchholz vs Pinneberg?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Buchholz (1,779) and Pinneberg (1,773).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buchholz vs Pinneberg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buchholz
Not enough data to predict the Buchholz lineup.
Pinneberg
Not enough data to predict the Pinneberg lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchholz have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Pinneberg have 5, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 3-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 5-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sasel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Buchholz score 2.3 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pinneberg score 2.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchholz | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Pinneberg | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/11 | 9/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Buchholz | 34 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 87 | 80 | 44 |
A question about Buchholz vs Pinneberg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buchholz vs Pinneberg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pinneberg the favourite at 41%, against 20% for a draw and 39% for Buchholz.
- Where and when is Buchholz vs Pinneberg played?
- Buchholz vs Pinneberg is played on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Otto-Koch-Kampfbahn, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.