Paloma vs HEBC: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 33Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 08:45 AM (UTC)Jonny Rehbein Sportplatz, Hamburg
The Footlab AI model makes Paloma the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for HEBC. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paloma vs HEBC?
Paloma starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,957 vs 1,743).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paloma vs HEBC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paloma
4-3-3- 10V. Galica
- 9D. Schiemann
- 15Torben Hindersmann
- 6C. Wegner
- 19M. Krause
- 13A. Graf
- 8H. Brückner
- 14Tore Gersch
- 17Sven Drews
- 7F. Kramer
- 1Y. Jonas
HEBC
4-3-3- 15Janek Wrede
- 7Tjorven Bastian Dan Köhler
- 20P. Onnen
- 11Hammed Nawaz
- 8Piet Oldag
- 17Robert Schick
- 33Christopher Grunewald
- 24Julius Emil Stegemann
- 18Jorma Eggers
- 27Lionel Zitzewitz
- 12J. Schoon
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paloma have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; HEBC have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Paloma wins, 0 draws, 4 HEBC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | HEBC 1-2 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Paloma 1-0 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Paloma 0-1 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 20, 2024 | HEBC 3-1 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 28, 2024 | HEBC 2-0 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Paloma 1-4 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Paloma score 2.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; HEBC score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paloma | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 15/15 |
| HEBC | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paloma sit 5th in Oberliga - Hamburg (61 points from 34 matches) and HEBC sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paloma | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 84 | 50 | 61 |
| 13 | HEBC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 66 | 38 |
A question about Paloma vs HEBC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paloma vs HEBC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paloma the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for HEBC.
- Where and when is Paloma vs HEBC played?
- Paloma vs HEBC is played on May 9, 2027 at 08:45 AM (UTC) at Jonny Rehbein Sportplatz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.